Foreign immigrants cannot fill labor gaps for long
British politician Miriam Cates explains why incoming immigration can’t compensate for low birthrates, and is not a long term solution. For keeping total population and working age population constant in Europe up to year 2060, demographic research calculated that foreign migration with annual inflow of about 2 million young immigrants is needed: https://web.archive.org/web/20240204053421/https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol40/45/40-45.pdf Keeping the support ratio constant still remains an unattainable goal because of unrealistic migration numbers necessary. Pensioners are increasing fast in all OECD Countries, up to 2050: https://archive.ph/jldBq A UN study estimated that with the low birth rate of all European Countries, in order to keep the working population stable, the ratio of 3:1 workers-retirees stable, 6.1 million young foreign immigrants should be accepted every year, until year 2050: https://web.archive.org/web/20221016143819/https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/pdf/ageing/replacement-chap4-eu.pdf By 2050, Europe will have a population of 520,000,000 40% of whom will be made up of immigrants and their descendants. In Austria and Canada, even under a constant incoming immigration rate of 0.35%, like the USA one, microsimulation models project a declining active labour force population between 2011 and 2061, collectively by 4% and 10% respectively: https://web.archive.org/web/20220623051357/http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol41/12/41-12.pdf Studies demonstrate that Germany needs a steady inflow of about 500,000 skilled foreign immigrants per year, every year, until 2050: https://archive.ph/CB6oS https://archive.ph/DVb9N https://archive.ph/NZX89 https://archive.ph/XESQE https://archive.ph/EZSzb https://archive.ph/VVmqo https://archive.ph/wophh https://archive.ph/hcusz https://archive.ph/T3s34 https://archive.ph/ds3hM https://archive.ph/t9DsS https://archive.ph/nCHNs https://archive.ph/tKb3Z https://archive.ph/IkAQt https://archive.ph/YK4Nx https://service.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/#!y=2060&v=3&l=en 95% of the hundreds of thousands of refugees arriving in Germany were young unmarried males: https://archive.ph/dHOjs https://archive.ph/Lm5jr https://archive.ph/Swe3Y https://archive.ph/45VPG https://archive.ph/HBijY Germany needs 1.5 million more new immigrants per year in order to save the country’s pension system: https://archive.ph/didrZ https://archive.ph/2wuaz https://archive.ph/82gZV
British politician Miriam Cates explains why incoming immigration can’t compensate for low birthrates, and is not a long term solution. For keeping total population and working age population constant in Europe up to year 2060, demographic research calculated that foreign migration with annual inflow of about 2 million young immigrants is needed: https://web.archive.org/web/20240204053421/https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol40/45/40-45.pdf Keeping the support ratio constant still remains an unattainable goal because of unrealistic migration numbers necessary. Pensioners are increasing fast in all OECD Countries, up to 2050: https://archive.ph/jldBq A UN study estimated that with the low birth rate of all European Countries, in order to keep the working population stable, the ratio of 3:1 workers-retirees stable, 6.1 million young foreign immigrants should be accepted every year, until year 2050: https://web.archive.org/web/20221016143819/https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/pdf/ageing/replacement-chap4-eu.pdf By 2050, Europe will have a population of 520,000,000 40% of whom will be made up of immigrants and their descendants. In Austria and Canada, even under a constant incoming immigration rate of 0.35%, like the USA one, microsimulation models project a declining active labour force population between 2011 and 2061, collectively by 4% and 10% respectively: https://web.archive.org/web/20220623051357/http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol41/12/41-12.pdf Studies demonstrate that Germany needs a steady inflow of about 500,000 skilled foreign immigrants per year, every year, until 2050: https://archive.ph/CB6oS https://archive.ph/DVb9N https://archive.ph/NZX89 https://archive.ph/XESQE https://archive.ph/EZSzb https://archive.ph/VVmqo https://archive.ph/wophh https://archive.ph/hcusz https://archive.ph/T3s34 https://archive.ph/ds3hM https://archive.ph/t9DsS https://archive.ph/nCHNs https://archive.ph/tKb3Z https://archive.ph/IkAQt https://archive.ph/YK4Nx https://service.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/#!y=2060&v=3&l=en 95% of the hundreds of thousands of refugees arriving in Germany were young unmarried males: https://archive.ph/dHOjs https://archive.ph/Lm5jr https://archive.ph/Swe3Y https://archive.ph/45VPG https://archive.ph/HBijY Germany needs 1.5 million more new immigrants per year in order to save the country’s pension system: https://archive.ph/didrZ https://archive.ph/2wuaz https://archive.ph/82gZV




